The Wallabies are set up for what many are calling a golden runway to reach the quarter-finals of the Rugby World Cup 2027. Giving them a genuine shot at winning their first title in nearly three decades. This comes even though they failed to secure a place among the tournament’s top seeds going into this week’s official draw.
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On Wednesday night in Sydney, organisers will reveal which lower-ranked nations Australia is expected to beat comfortably on their path to the knockout rounds. The draw will also identify the Wallabies’ main rival in the group stage. Setting up the biggest match of Australia’s pool play and. In all likelihood, one of the national sporting highlights of 2027.
Where the draw balls land will also kick off a hectic two-month stretch for tournament planners. They are preparing for an expanded World Cup that could still include matches at the Melbourne Cricket Ground (MCG).
However, Victoria’s scheduling agreement with the NFL has created limited windows for events. Frustrating rugby officials and making planning more complicated than expected. The Rugby World Cup 2027 will feature 24 national teams, an increase of four compared with the 2023 tournament in France.
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Rugby World Cup: Wallabies Look to Bounce Back After Historic Exit
That edition was a low point for Australia, which failed to reach the knockout stage for the first time in history. The new format includes six groups of four teams, creating a 52-game tournament spread across seven Australian cities: Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Perth, Adelaide, Newcastle and Townsville.
Australia, who are hosting the event, have endured a difficult few seasons. And finished their 2025 campaign with a winless European tour. Leaving them ranked seventh in the world. Because of that, they will be drawn from band two, along with Fiji, Scotland, Italy, Wales and Japan.
The Wallabies are already assigned to Group A as hosts and will be matched with one team from band one. Which includes some of the strongest rugby nations on the planet: South Africa, New Zealand, England, Ireland, France and Argentina.
The other two teams in Australia’s group will come from developing rugby nations. Some possible combinations are Argentina, Australia, USA and Samoa, or England, Australia, Uruguay and Hong Kong.
No matter the final draw, the top two teams in each group will advance to a 16-team knockout round. They will be joined by four of the best third-place finishers, which means that surviving the pool stage should be far easier for host nations than in past tournaments.
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Rugby World Cup Final: Wallabies Set to Avoid Top Seeds in Round of 16
There is also a built-in advantage, even if the Wallabies finish second in their pool. This matches their current global ranking; they will face only a runner-up from another pool in the round of 16. That means they will likely avoid facing a powerhouse and likely top seed in their first knockout game.
In contrast, runners-up in pool B and pool D will be placed directly against other group winners, creating a far tougher road to the quarter-finals. Some stadium plans are already locked in.
But several other venue decisions remain uncertain. There is still a chance that Victoria may host two round-of-16 matches and seven pool games, possibly including a fixture at the MCG. The problem is Victoria’s multi-year deal with the NFL, which gives the American League flexibility in choosing when to visit Melbourne.
The tournament is scheduled to run from early October through mid-November, overlapping the beginning of the 2027–28 NFL season. Rugby organisers must confirm match venues by February so ticket presales can begin on time, putting pressure on negotiations.
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