Last night’s lottery in Sydney, which placed the All Blacks in Pool A with home nation Australia. Chile who made their first Rugby World Cup showing two years ago in France, and Hong Kong China. Who have yet to appear at the global tournament, has put the Springboks and New Zealand. The world’s No.1 and No.2 teams, on a quarter-final clash course at the Rugby World Cup 2027.
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Neither nation will likely be pleased with the outcome, but, as the final two sides drawn from the top band of ranked teams. Both will have felt a sense of certainty they would meet early in the knockout phase due to the way the draw is structured. South Africa was placed in Pool B with Italy, Georgia, and Romania, a grouping that appears favorable for the reigning champions.
New Zealand, should they lead their pool, will likely meet Tonga or Samoa in a final round of 16 contest. A fresh concept to accommodate the additional four nations in the tournament before facing the Boks. South Africa, which will almost certainly top their pool. Will likely face similarly modest opposition in their qualifying match before meeting the All Blacks.
Having one of the showpiece finalists from the previous World Cup eliminated at the quarter-final stage is clearly not ideal in terms of the competition’s design, as Robertson agreed during a discussion with New Zealand media this morning. Asked whether the two leading sides should be on separate halves of the draw, he replied.
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That’s a fair question, and I can’t answer it from a structural point of view. But that’s what you sort of expected you’d split the two sides from the pool phase, and you’d converge somewhere in the middle. Robertson added: That’s one of the oddities of the format. France, named in Pool D, will likely finish on top of a group also including Japan, the USA, and Samoa.
That would possibly place them into a final 16 match against Pool E’s Scotland, which, if they prevailed. Would see them face either Fiji or Wales in a quarter-final and then one of the Boks or All Blacks in a semifinal. Should the All Blacks fall to Australia, a match that will probably launch the event in Perth. They will move to the other side of the draw and possibly face England, currently the No.3 team in the world, in a quarter-final.
We play South Africa frequently, and it’s potentially another opportunity to test ourselves, Robertson said of a quarter-final against their historic rivals. You’re going to have to face someone with their current momentum to lift the trophy. The quarter-final, if that’s how it unfolds, then it’s simply part of the draw. You must accept it.
Drawing the pools just under two years out from the Rugby World Cup may appear illogical compared with the FIFA World Cup, but in the past, they were completed even earlier. The draw for the 2023 Rugby World Cup was made almost three years in advance. One of the anomalies of the last tournament had the then top-ranked Ireland. Reigning champions South Africa, and resurgent Scotland in the same group.
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Additionally, the top four sides at the last tournament, Ireland, France, New Zealand, and South Africa, were all positioned on the same bracket of the draw. After the last World Cup, World Rugby promised adjustments to the draw timing, which they have implemented to an extent. But there will be a commercial incentive in the organization insisting on a draw two years out to allow supporters’ travel packages to be marketed and sold.
The match venues and specific details of the draw will be disclosed on February 3. At this stage, the standout pool games of the next tournament appear to be Australia v New Zealand, Ireland v Scotland, and England v Wales. Argentina v Fiji in Pool C will also be decisive. There’s no guarantee of an Australia v All Blacks tournament opener.
But it would be a remarkable moment and one that as a player you’d eagerly anticipate, Robertson said of a potentially early clash against the hosts. It’s so close to home that there will be a large number of Kiwis present. Skipper Scott Barrett said: The new format’s really thrilling. You’re going to have to win four major games consecutively. And that will definitely put pressure on the depth of squads.
Clearly, having Australia in our pool is going to create some sparks in the round-robin stage. Before that, of course, is an exceptionally demanding 2026 schedule for the All Blacks, who host Ireland, Italy, and France in the Nations Cup mid-year before touring South Africa in the famed Greatest Rivalry series. We played South Africa six times before the World Cup, Robertson said.
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