The draw for the Rugby World Cup 2027 was held in Sydney on Wednesday morning, and Ireland now has a clear picture of what lies between them and a long-awaited first appearance in a World Cup semi-final. On the surface, the draw has been relatively kind to Andy Farrell’s side. Ireland has been placed in Pool D alongside Uruguay, Portugal, and familiar Six Nations rivals Scotland.

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Compared to some of the tougher pools, it is a group Ireland will fully expect to come through, but as history has shown, nothing is ever straightforward for them at the Rugby World Cup. The standout fixture in the pool will be Ireland’s clash with Scotland. It will be the third Rugby World Cup in a row that the two sides have met in the group stage, following encounters in both 2019 and 2023.

While Ireland has generally had the upper hand in recent years, Scotland has proven time and again that it is capable of upsetting the Irish on a big occasion. This match is likely to decide who tops the pool, and the consequences of that result will be significant.

The team that finishes second in Pool D is expected to face France in the Round of 16. Given France’s strength and its status as one of the tournament favorites, that is a matchup no one will be eager to take on so early in the knockout stages.

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Why Pool Position Could Define Ireland’s Rugby World Cup

For Ireland, avoiding that scenario will be a major priority, making the Scotland game absolutely crucial. If Ireland do win the pool, their Round of 16 opponents would likely be one of the best third-placed teams from Pools B, E, or F. At this stage, Georgia looks the most probable candidate. Georgia is drawn in Pool B alongside South Africa, Italy, and Romania.

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besides many expect them to finish third behind the Springboks and Italy. While Georgia may be a third-placed side on paper, they are far from an easy draw. Their physicality, breakdown strength, and growing experience against Tier One nations make them a dangerous opponent, and arguably a tougher test than other potential options such as the USA or Tonga.

That Round of 16 match could be hugely significant for Irish rugby. Remarkably, Ireland has never won a knockout game at a Rugby World Cup, in either the men’s or women’s competitions. Breaking that particular curse would be a major milestone.

Besides beating a team like Georgia could finally allow Ireland to clear that long-standing psychological hurdle. Still, while a Round of 16 win would be historic, everyone knows the real target lies one step further on. If Ireland were to get past the Round of 16, the most likely quarter-final opponent would be Argentina.

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Rugby World Cup Final: A Rivalry That Has Haunted Ireland

The Pumas are drawn in Pool C alongside Fiji, Spain, and Canada, and they are widely expected to top that group. In the Round of 16, Argentina should come up against either Chile, the USA, or Tonga, a challenge they would be confident of overcoming. That sets up the possibility of another Rugby World Cup showdown between Ireland and one of their most troublesome opponents.

Ireland’s history with Argentina at the World Cup makes for uncomfortable reading. The two teams have met four times at the tournament: in 1999, 2003, 2007, and 2015. Argentina has won three of those encounters, with Ireland managing just a single victory. Even more painfully for Irish supporters, each of Argentina’s wins has resulted in Ireland being eliminated from the competition.

The most recent meeting, in the quarter-finals of the 2015 Rugby World Cup Final, still stings. Ireland entered that match in poor shape, having lost key leaders such as Paul O’Connell and Jonathan Sexton to injury. Argentina, by contrast, arrived with a young, fearless side.

then tore Ireland apart in Cardiff, running out emphatic 43–20 winners. It was a sobering reminder of how quickly Rugby World Cup Final dreams can unravel. That history has not been forgotten by fans. Social media reactions to the draw quickly highlighted lingering fears about the prospect of another quarter-final against the Pumas.

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Rugby World Cup Semi-Final: What the 2027 Draw Really Means for Ireland

One supporter dryly joked that another defeat to Argentina would simply mean waiting until 2031 to finally break the Rugby World Cup semi-final curse. Another sarcastically congratulated Argentina on yet another run to the Rugby World Cup semi-final. Others were more direct, admitting they would have preferred to avoid Argentina altogether.

For Ireland, the path to a first semi-final is now clearly defined. The draw offers opportunity, but it also brings familiar dangers. To finally change their World Cup story, Ireland will need to handle their pool with authority, navigate a tricky Round of 16, and then confront the ghosts of tournaments past in the quarter-finals. Whether 2027 is the year they finally do it remains to be seen. Rugby World Cup Semi-Final.