Whatever happens in Wednesday’s draw for the Rugby World Cup 2027. One thing is already clear: Ireland will need to tackle a very different road if they hope to finally reach their long-awaited goal, a first-ever World Cup semi-final. The format of the tournament has changed, and with it, the shape of every team’s possible journey.
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The World Cup has been expanded to 24 teams, which means six pools of four instead of the old system of four pools of five. A round of 16 has also been added for the first time in men’s World Cup history. Under this new layout, the winners of Pools A, B, C, and D will face the four best third-place finishers.
The winners of Pools E and F will play the runners-up from Pools D and B. The second-placed teams in Pools A and C will meet the teams finishing second in Pools E and F. It sounds complicated, but basically, there are now more knockout games and more chances for unpredictable matchups.
It is too early to know whether this works in Ireland’s favor. The draw for the 2027 tournament is completely random, now that the seedings are set, with only one guarantee: host nation Australia will be placed in Pool A.
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Rugby World Cup: Ireland Secured in Top Seed Band
Ireland, currently among the top six teams in the world, is locked into band one. Meaning they will be the highest-ranked side in whatever pool they end up in. They should be favorites to top their group, no matter which teams they draw from bands two, three, and four. The draw will be held in Sydney on Wednesday, December 3, and will be streamed live on Rugby Pass TV.
Still, Irish supporters know better than to assume anything in a Rugby World Cup. Ireland has appeared in all ten World Cups so far. They have reached the quarter-finals eight times, and every single time, that is where their run has stopped.
No team has produced more heartbreak at this stage of the tournament than Ireland, a fact that hangs over every new campaign they begin. Band two includes Scotland, Italy, and Wales, which means there is a fifty-fifty chance that Ireland will face a familiar Six Nations opponent.
Ireland has a history with all three at past World Cups. Their first match at the very first Rugby World Cup, back in 1987, was against Wales in Wellington, a dull game that Wales won 13–6. Ireland beat Italy 16–9 at the 2015 World Cup in London, a sluggish and frustrating performance. Though they haven’t lost to Italy in any competition in 13 meetings.
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Rugby World Cup Final: USA the Ideal Band Three Draw
They have also beaten Scotland comfortably in the pool stage at the last two World Cups. So, while drawing a Six Nations rival would create some nerves, it shouldn’t create real fear. If there is a dangerous team in band two, it might actually be Fiji. Ireland has never played Fiji in a World Cup, and they scored 50 points against them in the 2024 Autumn Nations Series.
Fiji has a reputation for being unpredictable and explosive. If Ireland meets Fiji on a short turnaround, or if Fiji arrives in form, an upset is absolutely possible. Band three offers another potential headache in Georgia, which is the highest-ranked team in that group.
Georgia nearly produced one of the greatest shocks in World Cup history when they pushed Ireland to the limit in Bordeaux in 2007. Ireland escaped with a 14–10 win that day, helped by missed Georgian kicks, but the memory still lingers. Georgia’s scrum is always powerful, which could expose one of Ireland’s weaker areas.
Spain, Uruguay, and Chile seem to be improving, so the best draw from band three would likely be the USA, a team Ireland have consistently handled. Finally, in band four, the one team most sides will want to avoid is Samoa.
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