For ten Rugby World Cup 2027 finals, the world’s best teams have stepped onto the biggest stage, and nine times the William Webb Ellis trophy has ended up in southern hemisphere hands. New Zealand claimed the crown in 1987, 2011 and 2015. Australia lifted it in 1991 and 1999. South Africa, meanwhile, secured titles in 1995, 2007, 2019 and 2023.
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Only once has this southern dominance been interrupted: England’s dramatic 2003 triumph, sealed by Jonny Wilkinson’s legendary drop goal. That famous win came at Sydney’s Stadium Australia, which is set to host the Rugby World Cup 2027 final. And as officials pulled the balls from the pots during Wednesday’s draw.
The chances of another northern hemisphere team adding to that small collection of trophies appeared to improve. England and Ireland, currently ranked third and fourth in the world behind South Africa and New Zealand, were drawn into Pools F and D, respectively. If all four of those top-ranked teams win their pools as expected.
England and Ireland would find themselves on the opposite side of the knockout bracket from the All Blacks and Springboks. That would keep the northern giants away from the traditional southern heavyweights until the final.
England and Ireland would also be kept apart from each other until the semi-finals. Meanwhile, South Africa and New Zealand are now positioned on a potential quarter-final collision course, guaranteeing that one of them will be eliminated before the last four.
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Rugby World Cup: Wales Offered a Glimmer of Hope by Favourable Pool Draw
France, if they win their pool, which appears likely, given the level of Japan, USA and Samoa, would then be ready to face whichever team emerges battered but victorious from that southern hemisphere showdown. Scotland, who have been knocked out in the pool stage in three of the past four Rugby World Cup, could disrupt France’s path.
Gregor Townsend’s side have beaten Ireland only once in their last sixteen matches and lost to them again during Pool B at the 2023 Rugby World Cup. If that pattern continues and Scotland finish second in Pool D after Ireland, but manage to defeat Uruguay and Portugal, they will probably face France in the round of 16. Their record against the French is stronger, offering at least some hope.
Current form suggests that a win there would likely set up a quarter-final against Fiji. Even Wales, despite their ongoing struggles and turmoil within their rugby system, has a few reasons to be optimistic. Tonga and Zimbabwe, their Pool F opponents, are far more manageable than a worst-case alternative scenario of Georgia and Samoa.
Georgia famously defeated Wales in Cardiff in 2022 and is pushing hard for a place in the Six Nations, while Samoa have delivered painful upsets at World Cups in both 1991 and 1999. A second-place finish for Wales in Pool F would set up a last-16 meeting with whoever finishes runner-up in Pool C, a group that includes Argentina, Fiji, Spain and Canada.
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Rugby World Cup Final: Springboks Enter 2027 as Undisputed Favourites
South Africa, at this phase of the Rugby World Cup Final cycle, stands alone at the top. No matter how the 24 teams were arranged, the Springboks would have entered as favourites. Argentina, two-time semi-finalists both times at Ireland’s expense, will believe they can push deep again. Australia, hosting the tournament, will surely be stronger and far more settled than.
The disjointed side that crashed out early in 2023. Fiji, when given the proper preparation time their scattered playing group often lacks, always grows into a major threat at World Cups. Although this draw was made later in the cycle than previous ones, there is still an enormous amount of rugby to be played before October 2027 arrives.
As always, surprises will happen. World Cups rarely follow a neat, predictable script. Both England coach Steve Borthwick and Ireland coach Andy Farrell were quick to highlight that reality. It’s brilliant for supporters to plan things out and talk about who’s going to beat who, Borthwick told BBC Sport. As a kid, especially during the football World Cup.
I remember having the wall chart in my bedroom, looking at every possible match-up. But as coaches, we focus only on what is directly in front of us and make sure we’re ready for the tournament. Farrell echoed him, saying, If you don’t take care of your own business first, things can unfold very differently.
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