Rugby World Cup 2027: While the upcoming matches between Wales and Japan, and Scotland and Argentina, may not be considered major fixtures for rugby fans outside those nations, the outcomes in Cardiff and Edinburgh this weekend are set to play a crucial role in shaping the Rugby World Cup 2027 draw in Sydney on December 3.
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Focusing on Band 1, which is reserved for the top six-ranked teams, Argentina is currently in a prime position to avoid being drawn into the same pool as former champions South Africa, New Zealand, and England. Sitting as the sixth-ranked team, the Pumas know that a victory over Scotland would almost certainly secure them a place in Band 1.
For Scotland to overtake Argentina, they would need to win by 16 points or more—a feat they achieved during their last encounter at Murrayfield in November 2022, when they triumphed 52-29. Even with such a result, Scotland would remain 0.06 points behind Argentina in the world rankings, meaning they would also need England to beat the All Blacks by a similar margin to shift the calculations.
Rugby World Cup: Townsend Prioritises Performance Over Rankings in Scotland’s Qualification
Scotland still has a match against Tonga in the following week, but the outcome will not significantly impact their ranking since Tonga is lower in the standings. Meanwhile, Australia remains a key factor: A Scottish win could see them replace Australia in seventh place, but a strong performance from the Wallabies would keep them firmly in contention for Band 1.
For Scotland coach Gregor Townsend, the focus remains on winning the game itself rather than worrying about ranking mathematics. Being in the top six would be great, but not being there isn’t as critical as it has been in recent years, given that all second-place teams qualify, along with some third-place teams.
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The priority for the Argentina match is to play well, build on last week’s performance, and secure the win, he said. Although it is highly unlikely, a surprising scenario could see France—the hosts of the last tournament—drop out of the top six for the first time since January 2020. This would require a combination of results.
Rugby World Cup Final: Samoa’s Qualification Battle Creates Uncertainty in Bands 3 and 4
Fiji beating France by at least 16 points, coupled with an Argentina win over Scotland. Such an outcome would also place Fiji, currently ranked ninth, in contention for Band 1 for the first time in its history. In Cardiff, the match between Wales and Japan carries significant implications for Band 2. Currently, Wales sits in 12th place.
But a win by Japan would erase the marginal difference between the two sides, potentially pushing the Brave Blossoms higher in the rankings. With upcoming fixtures against Georgia, New Zealand, and South Africa, the scenario for Wales remains fluid, and a defeat this weekend would not be decisive for their standing under coach Eddie Jones.
A shift that could solve Ireland’s midfield penetration matters, with the key protagonists in that position all quite significantly on the erroneous side of 30. Rugby World Cup 2027 has announced that Brazil will replace Paraguay in the subsequent months’ final qualification competition for the 2027 Men’s Rugby World Cup, set to revenue place in Dubai from 8 to 18 November.
The situation for Bands 3 and 4 is somewhat more complex, particularly due to uncertainty around Samoa’s qualification for Australia. Samoa, ranked 17th, will enter Band 3 if it wins next Tuesday’s winner-takes-all playoff against Belgium. If they fail to qualify, the team ranked 19th would be placed in Band 3 instead.
Rugby World Cup 2027: Every Result Counts as Rugby World Cup 2027 Draw Nears Completion
These shifts underscore the fine margins that will determine the final composition of the Rugby World Cup 2027 draw. Ultimately, the upcoming weekend’s fixtures will have significant implications not just for rankings but for the strategic planning of the Rugby World Cup 2027 pools. Every point, every margin of victory, and every result could alter the configuration of the top bands.
At the heart of the scramble is the race for the top six spots, which will form Band 1 for the RWC 2027 pool draw. Currently, Argentina sits precariously in sixth place. A win over Scotland, combined with other favorable results, could cement their Band 1 status. To overtake Argentina, they might need to replicate the 16-point differential they managed in their last Murrayfield showdown.
But it’s not just about Argentina and Scotland. Australia is also lurking around the edge of Band 1. The Wallabies are aiming for a big result in their match against Ireland — a margin of over 15 points could catapult them up the ladder, especially if Argentina stumbles. Beyond the top tier, there’s drama in the fight for Band 2. In Cardiff, Wales faces Japan in a showdown that could reshape who occupies 7th to 12th in the rankings.
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